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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2108/337

Title: A Unifying framework for analysing common cyclical features in cointegrated time series
Authors: Cubadda, Gianluca
Keywords: common cyclical features
reduced rank regression
Issue Date: May-2007
Publisher: CEIS
Series/Report no.: CEIS Tor Vergata Research Paper; 103
Abstract: This paper provides a unifying framework in which the coexistence of different form of common cyclical features can be tested and imposed to a cointegrated VAR model. This goal is reached by introducing a new notion of common cyclical features, namely the weak form of polynomial serial correlation common features, which encompasses most of the previous ones. Statistical inference is obtained by means of reduced-rank regression, and alternative forms of common cyclical features are detected by means of tests for over-identifying restrictions on the parameters of the new model. Some iterative estimation procedures are then proposed for simultaneously modelling different forms of common features. Concepts and methods are illustrated by an empirical investigation of the US business cycle indicators.
URI: http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=986126
http://hdl.handle.net/2108/337
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